The future of Europe's landscapes

Authors and Affiliations: 

Peter Verburg, Koen Tieskens, Ziga Malek, Cecilia Zagaria, Julia Sturck, Nynke Schulp
1) Environmental Geography Group, VU University Amsterdam, the Netherlands
2) Swiss Federal Institute WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland

Corresponding author: 
Peter Verburg
Abstract: 

Europe's landscapes are changing their character as result of a range of interacting processes including the modernization of agricultural practices, (peri-)urbanization, abandonment of marginal agricultural lands, infrastructure development and changing societal requirements. This presentation aims at providing an overview of the extent and direction of the consequences of these different developments on European landscapes, their values in terms of ecosystem services and cultural heritage and biodiversity values. The potential of different spatial modelling tools to inform policy and stakeholder discussion and design novel land system trajectories is provided and illustrated by examples at different spatial scales ranging from a pan-European overview to individual landscapes across Europe.

References: 

1. Stürck J, Levers C, van der Zanden EH, Schulp CJE, Verkerk PJ, Kuemmerle T, Helming J, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A, Schrammeijer E, Verburg PH. Simulating and visualizing future land change trajectories in Europe. Regional Environmental Change. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0876-0
2 Tieskens KF, Shaw BJ, Haer T, Schulp CJE, Verburg PH. 2017. Cultural landscapes of the future: using agent-based modeling to discuss and develop the use and management of the cultural landscape of South West Devon. Landscape Ecology:1-20.
3 Levers C, Müller D, Erb K, Haberl H, Jepsen M, Metzger M, Meyfroidt P, Plieninger T, Plutzar C, Stürck J, Verburg P, Verkerk P, Kuemmerle T. 2015. Archetypical patterns and trajectories of land systems in Europe. Regional Environmental Change. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-10015-10907-x.
4 Stürck J, Verburg PH. 2017. Multifunctionality at what scale? A landscape multifunctionality assessment for the European Union under conditions of land use change. Landscape Ecology 32:481-500. http://dx.doi.org/410.1007/s10980-10016-10459-10986.

Oral or poster: 
Oral presentation
Abstract order: 
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